Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.026947 0.029651 0.032322 0.035153 0.038063 0.040962 0.044063
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.021059 0.025381 0.029770 0.034530 0.039523 0.044583 0.050078
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.017003 0.022365 0.027947 0.034119 0.040692 0.047438 0.054840
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.013705 0.019762 0.026225 0.033499 0.041348 0.049485 0.058487
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.011252 0.017827 0.025018 0.033237 0.042208 0.051582 0.062021
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.009597 0.016631 0.024493 0.033599 0.043628 0.054174 0.065974
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.007522 0.014758 0.023081 0.032875 0.043772 0.055314 0.068294
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.006088 0.013523 0.022309 0.032788 0.044547 0.057070 0.071212
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004707 0.012215 0.021367 0.032444 0.044981 0.058407 0.073628
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003430 0.010891 0.020329 0.031931 0.045176 0.059439 0.075672
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002004 0.009113 0.018638 0.030593 0.044395 0.059359 0.076467
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001510 0.008667 0.018567 0.031122 0.045691 0.061535 0.079688
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000824 0.007822 0.018073 0.031284 0.046737 0.063619 0.083018
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000152 0.006569 0.017006 0.030771 0.047045 0.064929 0.085562
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005494 0.016086 0.030390 0.047471 0.066347 0.088200
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004406 0.015039 0.029796 0.047611 0.067410 0.090415
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003595 0.014304 0.029545 0.048116 0.068854 0.093019
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003143 0.014065 0.029894 0.049301 0.071041 0.096423
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002277 0.013045 0.029198 0.049224 0.071777 0.098194
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001757 0.012522 0.029114 0.049849 0.073289 0.100804
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001212 0.011837 0.028784 0.050157 0.074420 0.102974
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000702 0.011058 0.028291 0.050245 0.075282 0.104823
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000146 0.009743 0.027007 0.049345 0.074989 0.105360